Week 7 was a revenge of the home teams after a sluggish start to the season. Will the books adjust or view it as a one-week spike in front of home crowds? The Cowboys remain the only undefeated team vs. the point spread, while Niners, Jets and WFT all have one cover this season.
Here are your weekly trends and team-by-team analysis.
AFC East
ATS: 4-2
O/U: 4-2
What we know: If you don’t want to play the spread in this game, maybe consider a team total. The Bills have scored over 30 points in five straight games, the longest single season streak since the 2013 Broncos ripped off eight straight.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 3-4
What we know: That’s three straight overs in New England games after unders chased in each of the first four weeks. They head to L.A. to take on a rested Chargers team this weekend.
ATS: 2-5
O/U: 5-2
What we know: The Dolphins opened the season by covering two of their first three games, but they’ve failed to cover four weeks in a row. They will try to keep things close as a big underdog this weekend in Buffalo.
ATS: 1-5
O/U: 3-3
What we know: The Jets are 2-5 outright over their past seven home games, but Vegas has actually overcorrected for those struggles, as they are 5-2 ATS in those games. Joe Burrow leads the Bengals into MetLife this weekend.
AFC North
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 4-3
What we know: The Ravens have covered every even-numbered week this season and failed to cover every odd week … tough break to have a Week 8 bye. If you’re into lookahead lines, they host the Vikings in Week 9.
ATS: 2-4
O/U: 1-4-1
What we know: There have been signs of offensive life (or a slight overcorrection in the betting market) over the past few weeks in Steelers games. Each of their first four games went under the total, but they had one over and one push in the two weeks leading into their Week 7 bye. The Steelers head to Cleveland this week to face a Browns team off a mini-bye.
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 2-5
What we know: The Bengals play their third road game in three weeks on Sunday against the, Jets and that would be a concern — if they weren’t rolling. They’ve covered the first two of this road trip, scoring 75 points in the process (they totaled 41 points in their first two road games this season).
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 4-3
What we know: The home team is riding a seven game unbeaten streak (outright) in the Steelers-Browns rivalry. That’s good news for the host Browns, and if you’re so inclined, the over has hit in two of the three games during that stretch in games played at Cleveland.
AFC South
ATS: 2-4
O/U: 2-4
What we know: The Jags snapped their 20-game outright losing streak in Week 6 ahead of their Week 7 bye and look to make it two in a row when they head to Seattle to face a Seahawks team that is on short rest. Vegas is suggesting that they will need to score north of 20 points to cover this week. The last time they did that? It was around their Week 8 bye last season (they scored 23 points in Week 6).
ATS: 5-2
O/U: 4-3
What we know: Who wins this game? That’s to be determined, but it’s likely that the winner will light up the scoreboard, as the winner of the past seven Indianapolis home games is averaging 31.3 points per game. The Titans hope to be that team as they head to Indy this weekend.
ATS: 5-2
O/U: 4-3
What we know: Since the beginning of last season, over tickets have cashed in nine of 11 road Titan games. Yes, the King Henry Express travels and travels well. When these two teams played in Indianapolis last season, the Titans won and smashed the over (45-26).
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 3-4
What we know: The Texans are 3-10 outright (5-8 ATS) in their past 13 home games. Vegas is giving them plenty of help this week, as they are a massive ‘dog with the Rams coming to town on Sunday.
AFC West
ATS: 4-2
O/U: 1-5
What we know: The Chargers are coming off of their bye after failing to cover in Baltimore. In their three weeks following their only other ATS loss this season, the Chargers averaged 35 points and turned the ball over just one time. They host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 2-5
What we know: Nine of the Broncos’ past 10 home wins have failed to see even 45 points scored. Washington travels to Denver this week.
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 4-3
What we know: The Raiders join the Ravens as the two teams on bye this week. When do you bet them? When you think their offense is in a good spot. They’ve scored over 25 points in all five of their outright wins this season, while they totaled just 23 points in their two losses.
ATS: 2-5
O/U: 4-3
What we know: Including the 2020 postseason, the Chiefs are 1-8 ATS in their past nine home games (they were favored by at least a full seven points in five of those games). They welcome the Giants to Arrowhead for the final game of Week 8.
NFC East
ATS: 1-6
O/U: 4-3
What we know: Washington is struggling and travels to Denver to face a Broncos team off the mini bye. They are 1-4 in their past five games (both outright and ATS), with those four losses coming by an average of 16.3 points per game.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 3-3-1
What we know: Back-to-back-to-back overs in Giant road games after unders went 4-0-1 in their previous five road games. They travel to Arrowhead for Monday Night Football this week.
ATS: 6-0
O/U: 5-1
What we know: The Cowboys are 6-1 outright and ATS in the past seven instances in which the over has hit. A pair of well-rested potent offenses face off this weekend in Minnesota.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 3-4
What we know: Do we see points when the Eagles travel to Detroit this weekend? Answer that question and you are answering which side you like ATS. Philadelphia is 3-1 ATS in games that go under the total this season, compared to 0-3 when the total goes over.
NFC North
ATS: 6-1
O/U: 2-5
What we know: The offenses will garner all of the attention for Green Bay’s Thursday nighter in Arizona, but these two defenses might be overlooked with this total over 50. Did you know that there are three teams that have not allowed more than 22 points in each of their past four games? Even better? Two of them play in this game (the Bucs are the third)!
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 1-6
What we know: Under tickets have cashed in eight of Chicago’s 11 home games since the beginning of last season. In a battle of far-from-stable quarterback situations, the 49ers come to Soldier Field for Week 8.
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 2-5
What we know: The Lions have dropped seven straight home games, but at least they’ve covered four of those games! They host the Eagles on Sunday afternoon.
ATS: 3-3
O/U: 3-3
What we know: The Vikings are coming off of a Week 7 bye. Sound familiar? They had a Week 7 bye last season as well and promptly covered three straight after the week off.
NFC South
ATS: 3-3
O/U: 2-4
What we know: Week 12, 2018 vs Atlanta. That was the last time the Saints covered a home game with an over/under of at least 50 points. They’ve failed to cover the past six such instances and host the high-flying Buccaneers on Sunday.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 4-3
What we know: Under tickets have cashed in consecutive Buccaneers road games after a 5-1 run by the overs in such spots. Tampa heads to New Orleans this week in a rematch of a game we saw in the NFC divisional round a season ago (30-20 Bucs).
ATS: 3-3
O/U: 4-2
What we know: The Falcons are 0-5 outright (1-4 ATS) in their last five true home October games. Tough break for them, as this game against the Panthers falls on the final day of the month.
ATS: 3-4
O/U: 2-5
What we know: The Panthers covered their first three games this season, but they’ve now failed to come through in four straight. The difference? Defense. In those first three games, they allowed just 10 points per game, but they have allowed 29 points per game since. They will look to reverse that trend this weekend in Atlanta against the Falcons.
NFC West
ATS: 6-1
O/U: 3-4
What we know: This will be the Cardinals’ fifth game on short rest during the Kliff Kingsbury era. They’ve lost three of those games outright, but it has been exciting — all four of those games have been one-possession games. We’ve got an appointment viewing Thursday night this week with Green Bay traveling to Arizona.
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 4-2-1
What we know: Sunday’s game will already the fourth game of the season in which the Rams have been favored by over seven points. They failed to cover in this spot last week, but they did manage to cover their first two instances this season.
ATS: 4-3
O/U: 0-6-1
What we know: The Seahawks are just 1-5 ATS in their past six games on short rest, a tough trend to take with a backup quarterback as they host the rested Jags on Sunday (after playing on MNF to end Week 7).
ATS: 1-5
O/U: 3-3
What we know: If you’ve yet to learn, betting a total in 49ers games requires watching until the very end. They’ve allowed at least seven points in each of the past seven fourth quarters, with an average of 21.3 total points being scored in the final frame. Things could get fun late in an otherwise tough to watch game in Chicago.