Free 2008 NFL Picks for Week 5 Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Spreads and Predictions

Here are the latest spreads and lines along with our free pick and prediction for the NFL Week 5 game between the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints :

Minnesota Vikings +3 (-110) vs New Orleans Saints -3 (-110)

• Breakdown and Analysis:
o The New Orleans Saints will have to contain one of the NFL’s top running backs, Adrian Peterson. Peterson is averaging 5.1 yards per carry and has 3 TDs.
o In the last 2 games however, Peterson has been held under 80 yards.
o The Saints have surrendered 1488 yards which is the 5th highest total in the league, in their first four games. However the Saints have limited to 122.8 rushing yards per game.
o Drew Brees is the 3rd highest rated passer at 106.9, the Saints are averaging 327.3 passing yards per game. The Saints still will be without Marques Colston and Jeremy Shockey.
o The Saints have lost 17 of 24 regular season games to the Vikings, including 6 of the last 7.

• Trends:
o The Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
o The Vikings are 1-6 SU in their last 6 games.
o The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing in New Orleans.
o The Vikings are 7-1 SU I in their last 8 games when playing in New Orleans.
o The Saints are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games at home.
o The total has gone OVER in 6 out of the last 7 games when the Saints are playing at home.
o The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans 8 games when playing at home.

Pick – Take the OVER 46.5 for this game. I expect Drew Brees to exploit the Vikings secondary. The Saints are averaging 327.3 passing yards per game. The Saints will have a hard time running so expect a big game by Brees. Reggie Bush and Duece McAllister are both averaging less than 3.8 yards per carry. The Vikings have held teams to 72.5 rushing yards per game. The Vikings will need to minimize their turnovers, they turned it over four times in their loss to the Titans.

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